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Red41
35157.4
851327.6
68977.8
Blue43
68606.4
704517.3
81307.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48300204060804143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.5
25.224.7
Auto10.2
Teleop12.0
End5.5
red by 10.3
17.30.1
14.815.0
Auto6.4
Teleop8.5
End2.5
Second
6897
#26
7.80.5
8.17.6
Auto5.0
Teleop2.4
End0.4
red by 0.5
8130
#29
7.30.1
7.47.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Third
3515
#35
7.40.5
8.17.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.6
red by 1.0
6860
#23
6.40.1
7.17.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned