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Red76
12579.3
331426.0
543815.2
Blue45
87145.9
599216.5
192330.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49622040801001207645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.9
24.825.7
Auto11.4
Teleop12.1
End2.5
blue by 4.3
1923
#12
30.30.6
31.430.7
Auto9.3
Teleop19.2
End1.7
Second
5438
#21
15.20.9
12.813.7
Auto8.1
Teleop6.6
End0.5
blue by 1.3
5992
#10
16.50.8
16.215.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Third
1257
#19
9.30.9
8.29.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End0.7
red by 3.4
8714
#36
5.90.8
6.75.9
Auto3.4
Teleop0.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsMissed