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Red73
4336.9
167629.9
29321.3
Blue25
47508.4
114310.9
12579.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6219040801007325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#14
29.91.1
26.327.5
Auto13.1
Teleop13.3
End3.6
red by 19.0
1143
#28
10.90.1
5.55.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End0.4
Second
293
#20
21.31.1
19.320.5
Auto11.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.1
red by 11.9
1257
#19
9.30.1
6.36.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End0.7
Third
433
#25
6.91.1
5.16.3
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 1.5
4750
#24
8.40.2
10.310.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed