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Red70
70817.3
54576.0
80755.3
Blue48
331426.0
436119.1
94244.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225104060807048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#11
17.30.9
13.514.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End1.7
blue by 8.7
26.00.4
20.721.1
Auto11.4
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Second
5457
#27
6.00.8
4.85.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.8
blue by 13.2
4361
#18
19.10.4
16.817.2
Auto7.3
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Third
8075
#32
5.30.8
5.26.0
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End-0.0
red by 0.5
9424
#31
4.70.4
4.95.3
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed