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Red71
704517.3
10215.3
180730.9
Blue29
711016.3
54906.7
81307.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions602802040801007129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.2
23.224.3
Auto11.0
Teleop18.2
End1.7
red by 14.6
7110
#16
16.30.0
10.710.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.1
Second
17.31.7
14.015.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.5
End2.5
red by 10.1
8130
#29
7.30.0
9.49.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Third
102
#30
15.31.7
13.315.0
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End1.2
red by 8.7
5490
#33
6.70.0
9.19.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed