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Red43
81309.4
32118.2
20310.7
Blue37
87214.6
272221.4
54574.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442404060804337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#3
18.20.6
19.119.6
Auto6.7
Teleop11.1
End0.3
blue by 3.2
21.41.4
18.119.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.9
End2.9
Second
203
#20
10.70.6
11.612.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End1.6
red by 5.9
5457
#21
4.81.4
2.43.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End0.2
Third
8130
#15
9.40.6
7.07.6
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.2
red by 4.8
8721
#27
4.61.4
3.54.9
Auto1.1
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed