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Red40
511310.2
457514.2
164713.5
Blue62
87066.6
272016.9
164024.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34431020305060704062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4575
#11
14.20.3
12.713.0
Auto7.2
Teleop6.1
End0.9
blue by 10.1
24.32.1
18.820.9
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End1.7
Second
13.50.5
10.410.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.5
blue by 3.4
16.92.1
14.116.2
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.2
Third
5113
#17
10.20.5
8.38.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
red by 3.6
8706
#22
6.62.1
4.56.6
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed