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Red32
12577.0
692119.4
87214.6
Blue45
54574.8
27216.4
909418.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284202060803245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6921
#13
19.40.5
16.817.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End1.7
red by 0.9
9094
#14
18.50.4
16.516.1
Auto10.0
Teleop7.6
End0.9
Second
1257
#25
7.00.5
5.66.1
Auto1.9
Teleop4.7
End0.5
blue by 9.4
272
#10
16.40.4
16.015.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Third
8721
#27
4.60.5
4.95.4
Auto1.1
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 0.2
5457
#21
4.80.4
3.83.5
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed