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Red38
32118.2
863010.0
87066.6
Blue39
48610.8
164713.5
81309.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443202060801003839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#3
18.20.0
19.619.6
Auto6.7
Teleop11.1
End0.3
red by 4.7
13.50.2
10.911.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.5
Second
8630
#26
10.00.0
12.212.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End0.7
blue by 0.8
486
#19
10.80.2
11.511.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End1.4
Third
8706
#22
6.60.0
6.66.5
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 2.8
8130
#15
9.40.2
7.67.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed