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Red33
511310.2
20410.0
434216.1
Blue37
68605.7
711010.7
272221.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374202060803337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.1
17.317.2
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End0.9
blue by 5.3
21.40.0
19.619.5
Auto7.6
Teleop10.9
End2.9
Second
5113
#17
10.20.1
8.88.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
blue by 0.5
7110
#12
10.70.0
10.910.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.4
Third
204
#16
10.00.1
8.07.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End1.9
red by 4.3
6860
#24
5.70.0
6.96.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed