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Red41
457514.2
20310.7
48610.8
Blue21
71411.3
81309.4
863010.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432902060804121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4575
#11
14.20.2
13.012.8
Auto7.2
Teleop6.1
End0.9
red by 2.9
714
#18
11.30.8
7.97.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Second
486
#19
10.80.3
11.811.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End1.4
red by 0.8
8630
#26
10.00.7
12.111.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End0.7
Third
203
#20
10.70.3
12.211.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End1.6
red by 1.3
8130
#15
9.40.7
7.87.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed