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Red9
164713.5
54574.8
12577.0
Blue21
20410.0
48610.8
711010.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31371020405060921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.52.2
9.77.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.5
red by 2.7
486
#19
10.81.3
11.710.4
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End1.4
Second
1257
#25
7.02.2
10.78.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.7
End0.5
blue by 3.7
7110
#12
10.71.3
11.19.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.4
Third
5457
#21
4.82.2
8.05.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End0.2
blue by 5.2
204
#16
10.01.3
9.58.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed