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Red46
71411.3
32118.2
12577.0
Blue28
27216.4
87214.6
272016.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363702060801001201404628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#3
18.20.8
18.919.8
Auto6.7
Teleop11.1
End0.3
red by 1.3
16.90.7
17.416.7
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.2
Second
714
#18
11.30.8
7.78.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.0
blue by 5.1
272
#10
16.40.7
12.611.9
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Third
1257
#25
7.00.8
5.86.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.7
End0.5
red by 2.5
8721
#27
4.60.7
3.52.8
Auto1.1
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed