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Red59
692119.4
31628.8
87066.6
Blue44
164024.3
511310.2
48610.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5841020801005944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#9
28.80.3
25.425.7
Auto14.8
Teleop13.0
End1.0
red by 4.5
24.30.4
19.419.9
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End1.7
Second
6921
#13
19.40.4
17.918.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End1.7
red by 8.6
486
#19
10.80.4
10.711.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End1.4
Third
8706
#22
6.60.3
6.97.2
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 3.6
5113
#17
10.20.4
9.39.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed