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Red39
4848.7
164713.5
711010.7
Blue46
434216.1
17125.2
20310.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343510203040503946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.50.3
11.611.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.5
blue by 2.6
16.10.4
14.514.9
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Second
7110
#12
10.70.3
9.39.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.4
Level
203
#20
10.70.4
10.510.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Third
484
#23
8.70.3
9.710.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.7
red by 3.4
5.20.4
6.36.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed