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Red77
36520.7
272221.4
27216.4
Blue46
32118.2
457514.2
87214.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593620801007746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.41.0
21.222.2
Auto7.6
Teleop10.9
End2.9
red by 3.2
321
#3
18.20.9
19.820.7
Auto6.7
Teleop11.1
End0.3
Second
365
#1
20.71.0
18.018.9
Auto6.2
Teleop12.3
End2.2
red by 6.5
4575
#11
14.20.7
13.013.7
Auto7.2
Teleop6.1
End0.9
Third
272
#10
16.41.0
11.912.9
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End3.2
red by 11.8
8721
#27
4.60.9
2.83.7
Auto1.1
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed