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Red40
909418.5
272016.9
71411.3
Blue44
692119.4
81309.4
20410.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4935204060801004044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9094
#14
18.50.4
17.417.0
Auto10.0
Teleop7.6
End0.9
blue by 0.9
6921
#13
19.40.9
18.319.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End1.7
Second
16.90.4
16.716.2
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.2
red by 6.9
204
#16
10.00.9
7.58.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Third
714
#18
11.30.4
8.58.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.0
red by 2.0
8130
#15
9.40.9
7.78.6
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed