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Red14
863010.0
87214.6
164713.5
Blue49
31628.8
12577.0
17125.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24480102030406070801449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.51.2
7.66.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.5
blue by 15.3
316
#9
28.80.2
19.719.8
Auto14.8
Teleop13.0
End1.0
Second
8630
#26
10.01.2
11.110.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End0.7
red by 3.0
1257
#25
7.00.2
8.68.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.7
End0.5
Third
8721
#27
4.61.2
5.84.6
Auto1.1
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 0.6
5.20.2
12.212.4
Auto3.3
Teleop1.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed