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Red40
711010.7
81309.4
457514.2
Blue5
87066.6
71411.3
54574.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3521010304050607080405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4575
#11
14.20.5
11.912.4
Auto7.2
Teleop6.1
End0.9
red by 2.9
714
#18
11.31.8
7.86.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Second
7110
#12
10.70.9
9.910.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.4
red by 4.1
8706
#22
6.61.8
7.35.6
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Third
8130
#15
9.40.9
8.59.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.2
red by 4.6
5457
#21
4.81.8
5.84.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed