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Red27
434216.1
68605.7
48610.8
Blue44
272221.4
272016.9
20410.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3838203050602744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.9
16.715.9
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End0.9
blue by 5.3
21.40.0
13.013.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.9
End2.9
Second
486
#19
10.80.9
10.49.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End1.4
blue by 6.1
16.90.0
13.012.9
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.2
Third
6860
#24
5.70.9
7.56.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.5
End0.6
blue by 4.3
204
#16
10.00.0
8.38.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed