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Red70
272016.9
71411.3
272221.4
Blue47
68605.7
27216.4
164024.3
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5252405060707047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.3
20.921.1
Auto7.6
Teleop10.9
End2.9
blue by 2.9
24.30.0
24.424.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End1.7
Second
16.90.3
16.316.6
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.2
red by 0.4
272
#10
16.40.0
16.516.5
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Third
714
#18
11.30.3
10.811.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.0
red by 5.6
6860
#24
5.70.0
5.85.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.5
End0.6