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Red25
87214.6
32118.2
692119.4
Blue49
434216.1
909418.5
48610.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48500204060801002549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6921
#13
19.40.4
19.819.4
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End1.7
red by 0.9
9094
#14
18.50.1
18.318.4
Auto10.0
Teleop7.6
End0.9
Second
321
#3
18.20.4
18.618.2
Auto6.7
Teleop11.1
End0.3
red by 2.1
16.10.1
16.016.0
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Third
8721
#27
4.60.4
5.04.6
Auto1.1
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 6.2
486
#19
10.80.1
10.610.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End1.4