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Red78
704520.7
428526.7
21926.3
Blue44
71413.0
19314.7
694512.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74260204060801001207844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.1
23.824.9
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.1
red by 12.0
193
#17
14.70.3
10.210.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End1.8
Second
219
#1
26.31.1
21.222.3
Auto13.4
Teleop12.0
End0.9
red by 13.3
714
#14
13.00.3
11.311.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Third
7045
#11
20.71.1
16.117.2
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 8.6
6945
#19
12.10.3
8.28.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned