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Red30
87073.5
127916.0
42811.2
Blue38
94397.8
870614.7
599215.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323510203040503038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#27
16.00.0
18.318.3
Auto8.3
Teleop6.2
End1.4
red by 0.6
5992
#10
15.40.5
17.217.7
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End0.4
Second
428
#29
11.20.0
9.59.5
Auto5.9
Teleop4.6
End0.6
blue by 3.5
8706
#18
14.70.5
7.98.4
Auto6.9
Teleop7.0
End0.8
Third
8707
#31
3.50.0
1.81.8
Auto2.8
Teleop0.4
End0.3
blue by 4.3
9439
#32
7.80.5
5.86.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed