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Red58
1121.1
314218.5
87073.5
Blue31
127916.0
7513.3
57329.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394602060801005831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#8
21.11.1
16.818.0
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End3.1
red by 5.2
1279
#27
16.01.0
18.317.4
Auto8.3
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Second
18.51.1
17.218.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End1.9
red by 5.2
75
#25
13.31.0
13.012.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Third
8707
#31
3.51.1
1.83.0
Auto2.8
Teleop0.4
End0.3
blue by 5.8
5732
#28
9.31.0
9.28.2
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed