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Red34
877112.9
428526.7
3034.1
Blue75
55526.1
5620.3
83420.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426702060801003475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.4
24.924.5
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.1
red by 0.5
555
#2
26.11.1
22.623.7
Auto10.9
Teleop12.8
End2.4
Second
8771
#15
12.90.4
11.310.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.2
End0.7
blue by 7.4
56
#4
20.31.1
15.116.3
Auto10.1
Teleop9.6
End0.6
Third
303
#30
4.10.4
4.54.1
Auto1.1
Teleop2.2
End0.8
blue by 16.1
834
#6
20.21.1
20.121.3
Auto8.6
Teleop10.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed