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Red39
4114.5
19314.7
167210.5
Blue42
601616.6
811712.0
863012.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404020253035455055603942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#17
14.70.2
11.611.8
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End1.8
blue by 1.9
6016
#13
16.60.4
15.015.4
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Second
41
#26
14.50.2
12.112.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End2.1
red by 2.5
8630
#24
12.10.4
10.510.9
Auto6.2
Teleop5.6
End0.3
Third
1672
#23
10.50.2
12.212.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End2.2
blue by 1.5
8117
#22
12.00.4
10.611.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed