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Red68
83420.2
465315.2
10219.7
Blue64
428526.7
694512.1
162616.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57522030407080901006864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#6
20.21.1
21.322.4
Auto8.6
Teleop10.0
End1.7
blue by 6.4
26.70.7
24.525.2
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.1
Second
102
#7
19.71.1
18.619.8
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End1.1
red by 3.4
1626
#12
16.40.7
14.114.8
Auto6.1
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Third
4653
#21
15.21.1
11.212.3
Auto7.5
Teleop6.0
End1.7
red by 3.1
6945
#19
12.10.7
9.410.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed