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Red48
127916.0
162616.4
19314.7
Blue65
465315.2
428526.7
601616.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45602040801004865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#12
16.40.4
14.815.2
Auto6.1
Teleop9.2
End1.0
blue by 10.3
26.70.5
25.726.2
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.1
Second
1279
#27
16.00.4
15.515.9
Auto8.3
Teleop6.2
End1.4
blue by 0.6
6016
#13
16.60.5
14.414.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Third
193
#17
14.70.4
12.312.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End1.8
blue by 0.5
4653
#21
15.20.5
12.312.8
Auto7.5
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed