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Red81
55526.1
46526.7
704520.7
Blue28
863012.1
42811.2
599215.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53442060801008128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#2
26.11.6
24.025.6
Auto10.9
Teleop12.8
End2.4
red by 10.8
5992
#10
15.40.9
18.017.2
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End0.4
Second
7045
#11
20.71.6
18.520.1
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 8.6
8630
#24
12.10.9
11.410.5
Auto6.2
Teleop5.6
End0.3
Third
4652
#16
6.71.6
4.66.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.0
End1.4
blue by 4.4
428
#29
11.20.9
11.510.7
Auto5.9
Teleop4.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed