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Red57
465315.2
57329.3
1121.1
Blue64
599215.4
167210.5
428526.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426502060801005764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#8
21.11.1
20.221.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End3.1
blue by 5.5
26.70.8
26.625.8
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.1
Second
4653
#21
15.21.1
12.813.9
Auto7.5
Teleop6.0
End1.7
blue by 0.2
5992
#10
15.40.8
17.216.3
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End0.4
Third
5732
#28
9.31.1
7.88.9
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End0.3
blue by 1.2
1672
#23
10.50.8
12.411.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned