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Red73
601616.6
21926.3
4114.5
Blue41
7513.3
457319.2
863012.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5943020801007341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#1
26.31.3
24.125.4
Auto13.4
Teleop12.0
End0.9
red by 7.1
19.20.0
17.417.3
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End1.3
Second
6016
#13
16.61.3
15.216.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End1.4
red by 3.2
75
#25
13.30.0
12.612.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Third
41
#26
14.51.3
12.413.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End2.1
red by 2.5
8630
#24
12.10.0
11.211.2
Auto6.2
Teleop5.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed