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Red31
42811.2
3034.1
55526.1
Blue38
46526.7
314218.5
862810.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453602060803138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#2
26.10.6
25.925.3
Auto10.9
Teleop12.8
End2.4
red by 7.6
18.50.0
17.217.2
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End1.9
Second
428
#29
11.20.6
11.010.4
Auto5.9
Teleop4.6
End0.6
red by 0.4
8628
#20
10.80.0
10.810.7
Auto7.1
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Third
303
#30
4.10.6
2.92.4
Auto1.1
Teleop2.2
End0.8
blue by 2.6
4652
#16
6.70.0
5.75.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed