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Red75
704520.7
127916.0
5620.3
Blue63
870614.7
601616.6
55526.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5960455055657075807563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7045
#11
20.71.0
20.721.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End2.5
blue by 5.4
555
#2
26.10.3
25.325.6
Auto10.9
Teleop12.8
End2.4
Second
56
#4
20.31.0
18.419.5
Auto10.1
Teleop9.6
End0.6
red by 3.7
6016
#13
16.60.3
16.516.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Third
1279
#27
16.01.0
15.716.7
Auto8.3
Teleop6.2
End1.4
red by 1.3
8706
#18
14.70.3
11.712.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed