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Red70
57329.3
21926.3
162616.4
Blue37
19314.7
3034.1
94397.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5821040801007037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#1
26.31.0
25.426.3
Auto13.4
Teleop12.0
End0.9
red by 11.6
193
#17
14.70.1
13.913.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End1.8
Second
1626
#12
16.41.0
14.115.1
Auto6.1
Teleop9.2
End1.0
red by 8.6
9439
#32
7.80.1
7.57.4
Auto2.2
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Third
5732
#28
9.31.0
8.89.8
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End0.3
red by 5.2
303
#30
4.10.1
2.42.2
Auto1.1
Teleop2.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned