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Red44
601616.6
10219.7
57329.3
Blue59
877112.9
46526.7
7513.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54300204060801004459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
#7
19.70.5
18.918.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End1.1
red by 6.4
75
#25
13.30.3
12.412.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Second
6016
#13
16.60.5
16.816.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End1.4
red by 3.7
8771
#15
12.90.3
12.112.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Third
5732
#28
9.30.5
10.19.6
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End0.3
red by 2.6
4652
#16
6.70.3
5.76.0
Auto3.3
Teleop2.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned