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Red57
428526.7
1121.1
19314.7
Blue61
694512.1
457319.2
314218.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73470204060801001201405761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.4
26.325.9
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.1
red by 7.4
19.20.5
17.918.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End1.3
Second
11
#8
21.10.4
21.921.5
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End3.1
red by 2.6
18.50.5
16.717.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End1.9
Third
193
#17
14.70.4
14.914.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End1.8
red by 2.6
6945
#19
12.10.5
11.111.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed