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Red22
525312.7
95326.9
64535.5
Blue23
44807.1
565317.3
329414.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305401001502002223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5253
#13
12.70.7
13.913.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End0.7
blue by 4.5
17.31.6
21.820.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Second
9532
#17
6.90.7
8.07.2
Auto3.3
Teleop1.7
End1.8
blue by 7.5
14.42.1
12.310.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Third
6453
#18
5.50.7
8.47.6
Auto1.8
Teleop3.6
End0.1
blue by 1.6
4480
#24
7.11.9
12.210.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed