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Red41
767719.3
613210.0
591318.9
Blue48
327518.3
32788.3
87635.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517201001502004148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.5
18.818.3
Auto7.8
Teleop10.1
End1.4
blue by 16.0
876
#3
35.31.0
36.535.6
Auto13.7
Teleop18.8
End2.8
Second
5913
#15
18.90.5
19.619.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End3.1
red by 0.6
18.31.0
14.013.0
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End0.8
Third
6132
#26
10.00.7
10.09.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End1.7
red by 1.7
3278
#23
8.31.3
12.210.9
Auto1.1
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsMissed