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Red65
25038.9
87635.3
64535.5
Blue61
310222.4
331314.0
32788.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565002040801006561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#3
35.31.0
35.036.0
Auto13.7
Teleop18.8
End2.8
red by 12.9
3102
#6Sur
22.40.7
21.322.0
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End2.9
Second
2503
#19Sur
8.91.1
8.09.2
Auto4.9
Teleop2.8
End1.2
blue by 5.2
3313
#10
14.00.7
13.914.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Third
6453
#18
5.51.1
6.77.8
Auto1.8
Teleop3.6
End0.1
blue by 2.8
3278
#23
8.30.8
10.411.2
Auto1.1
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed