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Red36
313414.2
327712.6
767719.3
Blue35
70486.1
88789.4
525312.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61350501001503635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.31.1
19.218.1
Auto7.8
Teleop10.1
End1.4
red by 6.6
5253
#13
12.70.0
14.114.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End0.7
Second
3134
#16
14.21.1
16.915.8
Auto6.3
Teleop6.5
End1.4
red by 4.8
8878
#14
9.40.0
9.69.6
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Third
3277
#12
12.61.1
16.015.0
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End0.5
red by 6.5
7048
#25
6.10.0
11.211.2
Auto1.6
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed