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Red43
565317.3
591318.9
43602.7
Blue22
329718.3
64535.5
613210.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463602060801001204322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#15
18.90.2
19.119.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End3.1
red by 0.5
18.30.8
17.116.3
Auto6.1
Teleop4.9
End7.3
Second
17.30.2
20.320.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End1.8
red by 7.2
6132
#26
10.01.0
9.38.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End1.7
Third
4360
#11
2.70.2
0.81.0
Auto-1.2
Teleop3.3
End0.6
blue by 2.8
6453
#18
5.51.0
7.66.7
Auto1.8
Teleop3.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned42%Ensemble oddsMissed