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Red33
467416.0
453925.1
44807.1
Blue55
331314.0
418118.2
525312.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644401001503355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#21
25.11.5
29.728.2
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End2.6
red by 6.9
18.20.7
15.716.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Second
16.01.5
15.914.3
Auto5.9
Teleop9.5
End0.6
red by 2.0
3313
#10
14.00.7
13.113.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Third
4480
#24
7.11.7
10.38.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End0.8
blue by 5.6
5253
#13
12.70.9
13.214.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed