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Red13
565317.3
70486.1
32788.3
Blue46
467416.0
331314.0
329414.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47450204060801346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.31.9
21.419.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End1.8
red by 1.2
16.00.3
14.614.9
Auto5.9
Teleop9.5
End0.6
Second
3278
#23
8.31.9
11.29.2
Auto1.1
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
blue by 6.1
14.40.3
11.812.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Third
7048
#25
6.11.9
9.57.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 8.0
3313
#10
14.00.3
14.614.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed