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Red36
327518.3
525312.7
43602.7
Blue37
310222.4
64535.5
418118.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295402040801001201403637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.1
13.613.7
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End0.8
blue by 4.1
22.40.6
22.021.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End2.9
Second
5253
#13
12.70.1
14.114.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End0.7
blue by 5.5
18.20.6
16.415.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Third
4360
#11
2.70.1
1.31.5
Auto-1.2
Teleop3.3
End0.6
blue by 2.8
6453
#18
5.50.6
7.87.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed