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Qual 182024 NMRC Championship
Red82
87635.3
525312.7
310222.4
Blue35
46237.4
565317.3
313414.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8537020601001201408235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#3
35.30.4
36.0→36.4
Auto13.7
Teleop18.8
End2.8
red by 18.0
5653
#7
17.30.3
19.4→19.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Second
3102
#6
22.40.4
21.4→21.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End2.9
red by 8.2
3134
#16
14.20.3
15.4→15.1
Auto6.3
Teleop6.5
End1.4
Third
5253
#13
12.70.4
14.2→14.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End0.7
red by 5.3
4623
#22
7.40.3
4.4→4.1
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed