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Red31
331314.0
95326.9
327712.6
Blue39
467416.0
64535.5
767719.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394602060801001201403139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
#10
14.00.4
14.914.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End1.5
blue by 5.3
19.30.8
18.617.8
Auto7.8
Teleop10.1
End1.4
Second
3277
#12
12.60.4
13.713.3
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End0.5
blue by 3.5
16.00.8
14.914.2
Auto5.9
Teleop9.5
End0.6
Third
9532
#17
6.90.4
7.87.4
Auto3.3
Teleop1.7
End1.8
red by 1.4
6453
#18
5.50.8
7.26.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned