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Red80
46237.4
327518.3
329718.3
Blue7
72355.7
70486.1
44807.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41250206080807

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.31.7
17.118.8
Auto6.1
Teleop4.9
End7.3
red by 11.2
4480
#24
7.11.2
9.07.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Second
18.31.7
13.715.4
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End0.8
red by 12.2
7048
#25
6.11.2
7.66.5
Auto1.6
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Third
4623
#22
7.41.7
4.15.8
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End2.4
red by 1.7
7235
#20
5.71.2
7.76.5
Auto0.4
Teleop4.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed