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Red37
25038.9
32788.3
613210.0
Blue57
88789.4
453925.1
329414.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2556040801001201403757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6132
#26
10.00.4
9.29.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End1.7
blue by 15.1
4539
#21
25.10.6
25.426.1
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Second
2503
#19
8.90.4
8.18.5
Auto4.9
Teleop2.8
End1.2
blue by 5.5
14.40.6
12.112.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Third
3278
#23
8.30.4
9.29.6
Auto1.1
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
blue by 1.1
8878
#14
9.40.6
9.710.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed