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Red22
32788.3
44807.1
95326.9
Blue57
87635.3
43602.7
327712.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2361040801001201402257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3278
#23
8.30.2
9.69.4
Auto1.1
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
blue by 27.0
876
#3
35.30.4
35.535.9
Auto13.7
Teleop18.8
End2.8
Second
4480
#24
7.10.2
7.87.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End0.8
blue by 5.5
3277
#12
12.60.4
13.313.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Third
9532
#17
6.90.2
7.47.2
Auto3.3
Teleop1.7
End1.8
red by 4.1
4360
#11
2.70.4
2.02.5
Auto-1.2
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed